Nairobi · Physical exposureFACILITY
GSK · manufacturing · Nairobi, KE · -1.302, 36.829
basis:
MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: activeCombined risk & exposure
Radial: current state · Sparklines: 2023 / 30 / 50 / 80Trajectory across horizons
Water stress0.90 → 4.91
Aqueduct 4.0 BWS score at the HydroBASINS L6 watershed containing the site.
Water depletion1.07 → 5.00
Aqueduct 4.0 BWD score — cumulative extraction against replenishment at the same watershed.
Deforestation46 ha cumulative → extrapolated +135 ha
Hansen Global Forest Change tree-cover loss within 5km; forward horizons extrapolated from 2019-2023 loss rate.
P1
Physical climate
Current state + 2030 / 2050 / 2080 horizons (NEX-GDDP, Aqueduct Future, CoastalDEM, UKCP18)
Business as usual
| Indicator | 2030 | 2050 | 2080 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water stress (0–5) | 2.2 | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Water depletion (0–5) | 1.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 |
| Interannual variability (0–5) | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Seasonal variability (0–5) | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Pessimistic
| Indicator | 2030 | 2050 | 2080 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water stress (0–5) | 2.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Water depletion (0–5) | 1.9 | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Interannual variability (0–5) | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Seasonal variability (0–5) | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
P2
Nature dependency
Water (Aqueduct + sector-weighted lens), biodiversity, soil
Water — sector-weighted lens
3.46 High (office lens)
Watershed: Nairobi, Kenya · aq30 1288
Hydrology context
Major basin: Indian Ocean (ex 160) · coastal
Water — Aqueduct baseline indicators
BWS — Water stress
0.90
Low (<10%)
BWD — Depletion
1.07
Low - Medium (5-25%)
RFR — Riverine flood
1.20
Low - Medium (1 in 1,000 to 2 in 1,000)
CFR — Coastal flood
0.00
No Risk
DRR — Drought
2.94
Medium (0.4-0.6)
UDW — Drinking water
4.59
USA — Sanitation
5.00
Biodiversity — protected areas
No protected areas within 30km (currently PAD-US US-only; KBA + national PAs Wave 2 pending).
Soil
SoilGrids / Living England — Wave 3/5 pending
P3
Nature impact
Emissions, fire, deforestation
Fire (FIRMS, last 7 days)
37 fires within 50km · nearest 7.6 km
Air quality (PM2.5)
Nearest station KENBIFS01 (2.4 km) — no recent PM2.5 measurement.
Asset emissions (Climate TRACE, within 50km)
No Climate TRACE asset matches within 50km.
Deforestation (Hansen GFC, 5km buffer)
Loss 2001-2023 within 5km
46.00
hectares
Loss 2019-2023 (recent)
12.30
hectares
Canopy cover (2000 baseline)
2.41
% in 1km
P4
Operational + social
Buildings, grid carbon, workforce
Buildings
Microsoft + Google footprints + EPC — Wave 3 pending
Grid carbon intensity
2025 · now
95.44
gCO₂/kWh
Country lookup (KE) · Ember 2024 + IEA WEO 2024 STEPS
Workforce
ONS / BLS just-transition — Wave 6 pending
P5
Disclosure-ready outputs
TNFD-LEAP / IFRS-S2 / SBTN / EUDR / BNG / SBTi-FLAG fragments
Applicable frameworks
TCFD, IFRS-S2, CSRD, EU ETS, EU eMARS
wave_5_pending — composed from bakes once P1-P4 populated
Generated 2026-07-08T00:41:07.466Z