Skip to content
← Back to mapTransition model →

Nairobi · Physical exposureFACILITY

GSK · manufacturing · Nairobi, KE · -1.302, 36.829
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Combined risk & exposure

Radial: current state · Sparklines: 2023 / 30 / 50 / 80
Water stressDroughtRiverine floodCoastal floodSite water lensAir (PM2.5)Fire pressureNearby CO₂PA proximityDeforestationGrid carbonCurrent state0–5 severity · trajectories →
Trajectory across horizons
23305080
Water stress0.904.91
Aqueduct 4.0 BWS score at the HydroBASINS L6 watershed containing the site.
23305080
Water depletion1.075.00
Aqueduct 4.0 BWD score — cumulative extraction against replenishment at the same watershed.
23305080
Deforestation46 ha cumulativeextrapolated +135 ha
Hansen Global Forest Change tree-cover loss within 5km; forward horizons extrapolated from 2019-2023 loss rate.

Country energy context · KE

Full pathway view on /companies/[id]/risk
Grid CO₂ intensity
95
gCO₂/kWh · 2025
0.00
200
400
600
800
median 336.28
KE · 95.44 · FY2025
Ember Climate (observed + generation mix) · IEA STEPS (2030/2050 projection) · rank 13/94
Generation mix
90%
clean · 2025
Solar 5%Wind 16%Hydro 21%Bioenergy 2%Other renewables 46%
Power capacity pipeline
7.3 GW
in flight · 99% clean
Nuclear4.0 GW
Geothermal1.7 GW
Hydro1.2 GW
Wind290 MW
Solar83 MW
Bioenergy55 MW
Construction (solid) + pre-construction (light). Source GEM.
Grid intensity outlook
No IEA STEPS projection for this country.
P1

Physical climate

Current state + 2030 / 2050 / 2080 horizons (NEX-GDDP, Aqueduct Future, CoastalDEM, UKCP18)

Business as usual
Indicator203020502080
Water stress (0–5)
2.2
3.7
4.9
Water depletion (0–5)
1.7
3.3
5.0
Interannual variability (0–5)
2.8
2.9
2.6
Seasonal variability (0–5)
1.8
1.9
1.9
Pessimistic
Indicator203020502080
Water stress (0–5)
2.5
4.0
4.2
Water depletion (0–5)
1.9
3.9
4.4
Interannual variability (0–5)
2.5
2.7
2.8
Seasonal variability (0–5)
1.8
1.9
2.0
P2

Nature dependency

Water (Aqueduct + sector-weighted lens), biodiversity, soil

Water — sector-weighted lens
3.46 High (office lens)
Watershed: Nairobi, Kenya · aq30 1288
Hydrology context
Major basin: Indian Ocean (ex 160) · coastal
Water — Aqueduct baseline indicators
BWS — Water stress
0.90
Low (<10%)
BWD — Depletion
1.07
Low - Medium (5-25%)
RFR — Riverine flood
1.20
Low - Medium (1 in 1,000 to 2 in 1,000)
CFR — Coastal flood
0.00
No Risk
DRR — Drought
2.94
Medium (0.4-0.6)
UDW — Drinking water
4.59
USA — Sanitation
5.00
Biodiversity — protected areas
No protected areas within 30km (currently PAD-US US-only; KBA + national PAs Wave 2 pending).
Soil
SoilGrids / Living England — Wave 3/5 pending
P3

Nature impact

Emissions, fire, deforestation

Fire (FIRMS, last 7 days)
37 fires within 50km · nearest 7.6 km
Air quality (PM2.5)
Nearest station KENBIFS01 (2.4 km) — no recent PM2.5 measurement.
Asset emissions (Climate TRACE, within 50km)
No Climate TRACE asset matches within 50km.
Deforestation (Hansen GFC, 5km buffer)
Loss 2001-2023 within 5km
46.00
hectares
Loss 2019-2023 (recent)
12.30
hectares
Canopy cover (2000 baseline)
2.41
% in 1km
P4

Operational + social

Buildings, grid carbon, workforce

Buildings
Microsoft + Google footprints + EPC — Wave 3 pending
Grid carbon intensity
2025 · now
95.44
gCO₂/kWh
Country lookup (KE) · Ember 2024 + IEA WEO 2024 STEPS
Workforce
ONS / BLS just-transition — Wave 6 pending
P5

Disclosure-ready outputs

TNFD-LEAP / IFRS-S2 / SBTN / EUDR / BNG / SBTi-FLAG fragments

Applicable frameworks
TCFD, IFRS-S2, CSRD, EU ETS, EU eMARS
wave_5_pending — composed from bakes once P1-P4 populated

Generated 2026-07-08T00:41:07.466Z