China IBX Data Centers · Transition modelFACILITY

The facility's dominant present-state pressure is water: it sits in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea watershed with a Baseline Water Stress score of 4.02, labelled Extremely High (>80%), alongside a drought score of 3.38 and an overall basin risk label of Low-Medium (score 1.92). On the impact side, Scope 2 emissions exposure is driven by China's grid, observed at 526.49 gCO2/kWh in 2025 (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025), among the higher carbon-intensity grids in Equinix's global IBX footprint. No flow-level water or energy consumption data is attached at the facility level, limiting quantification of absolute dependency volumes.

By 2030, the grid emission factor is forecast to drop to 380 gCO2/kWh from the 2025 observed 526.49 gCO2/kWh (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS), a meaningful step-down that should ease Scope 2 intensity for this energy-dependent IBX asset. Water-related horizon scores (2030 water stress and depletion) are not populated in the dataset, so the trajectory of the Extremely High baseline water stress condition cannot be forward-projected; the current overall physical risk label of Low-Medium (25-50%, score 1.92) should be treated as a present-state snapshot only.

By 2050 the IEA STEPS trajectory puts China's grid at 130 gCO2/kWh, a roughly 75% reduction from the 2025 observed 526.49 gCO2/kWh, which would materially de-risk the facility's Scope 2 footprint absent a shift in energy mix assumptions. Residual physical risk is harder to characterise: no 2050 or 2080 water-stress or depletion horizon scores are provided, so whether the Yellow Sea and East China Sea basin's Extremely High baseline stress eases, holds, or worsens remains an open question requiring supplemental basin-level projections (e.g. WRI Aqueduct) before long-term site resilience can be assessed with confidence.