DIRFT UK (Daventry International Rail Freight Terminal) · Transition modelFACILITY

DIRFT's dominant dependency is grid electricity and site infrastructure supporting rail freight and distribution operations, with GHG emissions via Scope 2 power draw as the material impact category. Water-related physical risk is currently low: overall water risk scores 0.64 (Low, <25%), baseline water stress is Low-Medium (10-20%, score 1.65) in the North Sea watershed, and coastal/riverine flood scores (2.80 and 1.82 respectively) sit in moderate-low bands. The GB grid's observed carbon intensity is 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember, 2025), placing current Scope 2 exposure at a middling level relative to peer European grids.

By 2030, GB grid intensity is projected at 100 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS — a greater than 50% reduction from the 2025 observed value — directly compressing the site's Scope 2 footprint without any operational intervention required. Water stress and flood metrics have no 2030 horizon data populated, so physical risk trajectory cannot be quantified for this window; current Low overall risk levels are the best available forward proxy. No flow-level (energy/water consumption volume) data is attached to this facility, limiting quantification of absolute impact reduction.

The 2050 horizon shows GB grid intensity falling further to 30 gCO2/kWh, effectively near-decarbonising the site's electricity-linked emissions and removing Scope 2 carbon as a material long-term concern. Residual physical risk centers on coastal and riverine flood exposure, which lack 2050/2080 horizon projections in this dataset — a data gap rather than a confirmed benign outlook, given DIRFT's rail-freight and warehousing infrastructure would be sensitive to any escalation in flood frequency. Absent updated water-stress horizon scores, the long-term physical risk picture remains a monitoring item rather than a quantified trend.