Inagawa I · Transition modelFACILITY

As a logistics/distribution facility, Inagawa I's primary dependency is grid electricity (energy) with limited water dependency; its dominant impact is Scope 2 GHG emissions tied to Japan's current grid intensity of 477.26 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025 observed). Physical water risk is currently Low-Medium: baseline water stress scores 1.99 (Low-Medium, 10-20%), drought score 1.88, and overall water risk 1.24 (Low-Medium, 25-50%) within the Honshu island (ex 288) watershed. Coastal flood exposure (2.16) is somewhat elevated relative to riverine flood (1.75) and depletion (1.05) scores, warranting monitoring given the site's location, but no acute water constraint exists today.

By 2030, Japan's grid carbon intensity is projected to fall to 290 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS — a ~39% reduction from the 2025 observed value — meaningfully de-risking the site's Scope 2 exposure without any operational change. Water-related forward-looking scores (2030 WD/WS) are not provided in this dataset, so the trajectory of physical water risk toward 2030 cannot be quantified; today's Low-Medium baseline stress and drought scores remain the best available reference points.

The grid decarbonisation trajectory continues sharply to 2050, with intensity projected at 120 gCO2/kWh (STEPS), a further ~59% drop from the 2030 horizon and roughly a 75% reduction from 2025 levels — effectively neutralising Scope 2 as a material long-term risk driver if realised. No 2080 grid or water horizon data is available, and long-term physical water/flood risk trajectories (coastal flood in particular) remain undefined in this dataset, representing a residual monitoring gap rather than a quantified risk.