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Prologis DIRFT · Transition modelFACILITY

Prologis · asset · Daventry, GB · 52.258, -1.163
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryDaventry, GB · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Prologis DIRFT (Daventry, GB) is a low-water-stress logistics asset whose primary transition exposure is Scope 2 intensity on a UK grid set to decarbonise sharply by 2050.

Today

The dominant dependency at this logistics/distribution facility is grid electricity, with the UK grid observed at 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025). Physical water risk is low: baseline water stress is Low-Medium (10-20%, BWS score 1.65) in the North Sea watershed, overall composite risk is Low (score 0.64), and water depletion (0.79) and untreated wastewater (0.16) scores are modest. Drought score sits at 3.29 and coastal flood exposure (2.80) is somewhat higher than riverine flood exposure (1.82), though neither reaches an elevated risk label. No flow-level data (energy/water volumes) is populated for this site, limiting quantification of absolute consumption or discharge.

Near-term · 2030

The IEA WEO 2024 STEPS pathway used for this site's grid horizon shows an anomalous 2030 figure of 100 gCO2/kWh sitting above the 2050 value of 30 gCO2/kWh — effectively flat-to-improving over the current 217.41 gCO2/kWh baseline, with the bulk of decarbonisation gains arriving after 2030. No forward water-stress or drought horizon scores (2030/2050/2080) are populated, so the physical-risk trajectory for this location cannot be benchmarked against today's Low baseline; this is a data gap rather than an indication of stability.

Long-term · 2050+

By 2050 the GB grid horizon implies a further step-down to roughly 30 gCO2/kWh under STEPS, reinforcing a structural decline in Scope 2 emissions intensity for this asset absent any on-site generation or PPA. Residual physical risk is presently anchored to Low overall risk and Low-Medium water stress, but the absence of 2080 water/wastewater horizon data means long-dated coastal and riverine flood trajectories (current scores 2.80 and 1.82 respectively) remain unquantified and should be revisited as watershed-level projections become available.

Call-outs
OPPORTUNITY
Grid decarbonisation tailwind
GB grid intensity is projected to fall toward ~30 gCO2/kWh by 2050 under IEA STEPS, structurally reducing Scope 2 exposure without site-level intervention.
WATCH
Missing forward water horizons
No 2030/2050/2080 water stress or depletion scores are populated, preventing forward-looking physical risk assessment beyond today's Low baseline.
WATCH
Coastal flood score elevated relative to peer metrics
Coastal flood score of 2.80 exceeds riverine flood score of 1.82 and warrants monitoring given North Sea watershed positioning.
WATCH
No flow-level consumption data
Absence of populated energy or water flow volumes limits quantification of absolute site-level dependency and impact.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 1.65 · Low - Medium (10-20%) · North Sea (ex 605, 629, 633, 634, 638)
Water stress: 1.65 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
GB · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 217 gCO₂/kWh2030: 1002050: 302080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.