Prologis Park Budapest-Harbor · Transition modelFACILITY
MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: activeClimate & nature exec summaryBudapest, HU · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07
Prologis Park Budapest-Harbor faces low water stress on the Danube today, with the site's transition risk profile hinging almost entirely on Hungary's grid decarbonisation curve rather than physical hazard.
This 150,000 sqm logistics/distribution park sits in the Danube watershed (ex 643-647) under Low (<10%) baseline water stress (BWS score 0) and Low-Medium overall physical risk (score 1.24), with negligible coastal or riverine flood exposure (0 and 0.42 respectively). The site's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water, and its dominant impact is Scope 2 GHG emissions tied to the Hungarian grid, which in 2025 carried a carbon intensity of 163.02 gCO2/kWh per Ember data. Drought score (3.61) is the one water metric worth watching, though it does not currently translate into an elevated overall risk label.
By the 2030 horizon, IEA WEO 2024 STEPS projects Hungary's grid intensity rising sharply to 95 gCO2/kWh equivalent on the horizon scale used here — a material shift in the emissions-intensity trajectory that logistics tenants and Prologis's Scope 2 accounting should track closely. No forward water-stress or drought horizon scores (2030/2050/2080) are populated in this dataset, so physical water risk trajectory cannot be quantified beyond the current Low baseline; this is a data gap rather than a confirmed benign outlook.
The 2050 grid horizon shows a marked improvement to 30 gCO2/kWh, consistent with a strong decarbonisation trajectory for the Hungarian power system under STEPS assumptions, which would substantially reduce the facility's embedded Scope 2 footprint if realized. No 2080 grid or water-stress data is available, limiting long-horizon physical risk assessment; residual exposure to riverine flood and drought along the Danube corridor should be revisited once forward-looking water scores are populated.
Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream
0.00 · Low (<10%) · DANUBE (ex 643, 644, 645, 646, 647)