Prologis Park Chengdu · Transition modelFACILITY

As a distribution/logistics facility, the site's primary dependencies are grid electricity and local water/wastewater services rather than direct extraction or land-intensive processes, with GHG impact concentrated in Scope 2 purchased power. Locally, the Chengdu site (Sichuan, CN) sits in the Yangtze basin under a High (40-80%) baseline water stress label (score 3.44) and a notably elevated untreated wastewater score of 3.28, while riverine flood risk is moderate-low (1.31) and coastal flood risk is zero given its inland location. The observed grid emissions factor for China in 2025 is 526.49 gCO2/kWh (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025), which currently anchors the facility's Scope 2 carbon intensity at a relatively high level versus OECD grids.

By 2030, the dominant shift is on the energy side: grid carbon intensity is projected to drop from an observed 526.49 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember) to 380 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, a roughly 28% reduction that will mechanically lower Scope 2 emissions intensity for this facility without operational change. Water-side horizon data (2030 water stress and depletion scores) is not populated in this dataset, so the physical water risk trajectory cannot be quantified forward from the current High (40-80%) baseline; overall water risk today is scored Low-Medium (1.92) but baseline water stress at 3.44 and untreated wastewater at 3.28 stand out as the sharper localized signals to monitor.

Out to 2050, China's grid is projected to decarbonise sharply to 130 gCO2/kWh under IEA STEPS, a nearly 75% reduction from 2025 levels, which would substantially de-risk the facility's transition/carbon exposure if realized, though 2080 grid and water horizon values are both null, leaving long-run physical risk residual and undefined in this dataset. The structural water stress and wastewater pressure in the Yangtze basin are unlikely to resolve on the same timeline as grid decarbonisation, so absent updated future water-risk projections, this facility's long-term risk profile should be read as transition-risk-improving but physical-water-risk-uncertain.