Prologis Park Coslada · Transition modelFACILITY

The facility's dominant present-state pressure is baseline water stress: it sits in the Tagus watershed with a BWS score of 5, labeled Extremely High (>80%), alongside a water depletion score of 4.55 and drought score of 3.17, indicating meaningful physical water dependency risk in the Community of Madrid, ES. Flood exposure is negligible (coastal 0, riverine 0.18) and untreated wastewater risk is low (0.20), so water quantity rather than water quality or flooding is the site's defining physical driver. On the impact side, Scope 2 GHG exposure is tied to Spain's grid, observed at 153.6 gCO2/kWh in 2025 per Ember, a moderate carbon intensity for a logistics/distribution asset with no on-site flow data reported.

By 2030, grid carbon intensity is projected to rise slightly to 95 gCO2/kWh per IEA WEO 2024 STEPS before the steeper decline toward 2050, a near-term plateau worth noting for Scope 2 planning rather than a straight-line improvement. Water-stress horizon data (wd_future_score, ws_future_score) remains unpopulated for 2030, so no forward view exists on whether Tagus basin conditions improve or deteriorate from today's Extremely High baseline. The facility's overall composite risk score remains Low-Medium (1.32, 25-50% band) despite the extreme water-stress label, reflecting flood and wastewater sub-scores that stay low.

By 2050 the Spanish grid is projected at just 30 gCO2/kWh under IEA STEPS, effectively neutralizing Scope 2 emissions as a material impact channel for this logistics facility, with 2080 grid data not yet published. Residual risk concentrates on water: with no ws/wd future horizon scores available, the long-term trajectory of Tagus basin stress is unmodeled, leaving the facility's exposure to depletion and drought conditions unresolved beyond current-state metrics. Flood risk (coastal 0, riverine 0.18) is not a long-term concern, so the site's enduring physical-risk profile is water-basin-driven rather than climate-hazard-driven.