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Prologis Park Datteln · Transition modelFACILITY

Prologis · asset · Datteln, DE · 51.651, 7.339
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryDatteln, DE · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Prologis Park Datteln is a Low physical-risk logistics asset in NRW, Germany, whose Scope 2 footprint will shrink sharply as the German grid decarbonises through 2050.

Today

The facility depends on grid electricity and water services typical of WELL-certified logistics operations, with GHG emissions via Scope 2 electricity as the dominant impact channel; Germany's 2025 observed grid intensity is 329.65 gCO2/kWh (Ember). Physical water risk is currently Low overall (score 0.56, <25% label) and baseline water stress is Low (<10%, BWS 0.59) within the Rhine watershed (ex 636), though the drought score of 2.69 signals some seasonal dryness pressure. Riverine and coastal flood scores are both low (0.27 and 1.81 respectively), and no site-level flow data (energy, water withdrawal) is currently populated in the dataset.

Near-term · 2030

By the 2030 horizon, grid carbon intensity is expected to nearly halve to 175 gCO2/kWh from the 2025 observed 329.65 gCO2/kWh (Ember, DE), materially improving the Scope 2 profile embedded in this facility's energy dependency. Physical water risk metrics — bws_score 0.59, drought_score 2.69, overall_risk_score 0.56 — currently carry no published 2030 forward values (wd/ws future scores are null), so near-term water-stress trajectory in the Rhine basin remains a data gap rather than a confirmed stable outlook.

Long-term · 2050+

By 2050, German grid intensity is projected at just 50 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, effectively decoupling this facility's electricity-driven emissions from its footprint and leaving physical risk — not carbon — as the dominant long-term consideration. Residual exposure centers on the Rhine watershed's hydrology: riverine flood score remains low (0.27) and coastal flood score modest (1.81), but without 2050/2080 water-stress or depletion horizon data, analysts cannot yet confirm whether the Rhine basin's Low stress classification holds under further climate stress. No 2080 grid horizon is available either, so the post-2050 decarbonisation trajectory is currently unbounded.

Call-outs
OPPORTUNITY
Germany grid decarbonisation tailwind
German grid intensity is projected to fall from an observed 329.65 gCO2/kWh (2025) to 175 by 2030 and 50 by 2050 under IEA STEPS, structurally shrinking Scope 2 exposure for this WELL-certified logistics asset without any site-level intervention.
WATCH
Water horizon data gaps
Forward-looking water depletion and water-stress scores (2030/2050/2080) are not populated for this site, limiting TNFD-aligned forward physical-risk assessment on the water dependency.
WATCH
Drought score elevated vs. baseline stress
Despite a Low (<10%) baseline water stress label (BWS 0.59), the drought score of 2.69 is notably elevated, warranting monitoring given the Rhine watershed's exposure to seasonal low-flow events.
RISK
No flow-level operational data
The flows array is empty, meaning site-specific water withdrawal, energy consumption, or waste volumes are not yet captured, constraining quantification of actual dependency intensity.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 0.59 · Low (<10%) · RHINE (ex 636)
Water stress: 0.59 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
DE · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 330 gCO₂/kWh2030: 1752050: 502080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.