Prologis Park Dutra RJ · Transition modelFACILITY

This logistics/distribution facility in Rio de Janeiro depends on grid electricity carrying a 2025 observed intensity of 109.95 gCO2/kWh (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025), making Scope 2 emissions the dominant impact pathway. Physically, the site sits in a South Atlantic watershed with Low-Medium baseline water stress (score 1.26) but an overall water risk rated High (60-75%, composite score 3.33), driven by drought risk (2.30), riverine flood exposure (2.42), and a notably high untreated wastewater score (2.81) — indicating basin-level sanitation and flood management gaps rather than acute scarcity.

By 2030, the grid emissions factor is projected at 70 gCO2/kWh, already a marked decline from the 2025 observed value of 109.95 gCO2/kWh, meaning Scope 2 intensity for this facility should fall materially over the decade under current Brazilian policy trajectories (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS). Water-related horizon scores for 2030 are not populated in this dataset, so no forward view on water stress or depletion trajectory is available; today's High overall water risk rating and elevated wastewater and flood sub-scores should be treated as the best available baseline for near-term planning.

Long-term, Brazil's grid trajectory under IEA STEPS points toward 40 gCO2/kWh by 2050, reinforcing a low-carbon operating base for this logistics facility and making transition risk from Scope 2 energy largely immaterial. The residual risk picture is physical: no 2050 or 2080 water stress, depletion, or wastewater horizon data is provided in this dataset, so the facility's long-run exposure to drought intensification, riverine flooding, and wastewater infrastructure adequacy in the South Atlantic basin cannot be forecast and should be tracked as data becomes available, particularly given the already-elevated overall water risk score.