Finland IBX Data Centers · Transition modelFACILITY

This IBX facility's dominant dependency is electricity, drawn from Finland's grid at an observed 2025 intensity of 57.47 gCO2/kWh (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025), which is already low relative to global data centre benchmarks, making Scope 2 emissions the primary GHG-related impact pathway. Water dependency is present but low-pressure: the site sits in the Baltic Sea watershed (ex 633, 641, 656, 672, 673) with a baseline water stress label of "Low-Medium (10-20%)" (score 1.22) and an overall water risk score of 0.2, "Low (<25%)." The one location-specific flag worth noting is a comparatively elevated riverine flood score of 3.08 against otherwise benign coastal flood (0.60) and water depletion (0.58) scores, indicating flood exposure is the more material physical pressure today rather than scarcity.

By 2030, grid carbon intensity is projected to fall further to 40 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, extending an already favourable decarbonisation trajectory from the 2025 observed value of 57.47 gCO2/kWh. Water-related metrics have no 2030 horizon scores populated in this dataset, so the current low-risk water picture (overall risk score 0.2, "Low <25%") should be treated as a snapshot rather than a forecast. The dominant shift through 2030 is energy-side: continued grid decarbonisation reduces Scope 2 intensity per unit of compute, while physical water risk assumptions remain static absent updated modelling.

By 2050, IEA STEPS projects Finland's grid intensity falling to 20 gCO2/kWh, effectively decoupling this facility's Scope 2 footprint from carbon risk and positioning it as a low-emissions anchor within Equinix's global IBX network. Residual physical risk is harder to quantify at this horizon: water stress and depletion scores for 2050 and 2080 are not populated in this dataset, so long-term hydrological risk in the Baltic Sea basin remains an open question rather than a quantified low. The main inflection point to monitor is whether riverine flood exposure, already elevated relative to other water metrics, intensifies with changing precipitation patterns in Northern Europe.