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Prologis Queimados · Transition modelFACILITY

Prologis · asset · Queimados, BR · -22.716, -43.556
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryQueimados, BR · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Prologis Queimados sits in a watershed with High overall physical water risk (60-75%) despite low baseline water stress, while Brazil's already-clean grid tightens further through 2050.

Today

As a logistics/distribution asset, Queimados' dominant dependency is grid electricity and built-asset resilience rather than intensive water use, with baseline water stress Low-Medium (BWS score 1.26). However, the South Atlantic watershed carries a High overall water risk score (3.33, 60-75% band), driven by elevated untreated wastewater (2.81) and riverine flood exposure (2.42), plus a notable drought score (2.30). Scope 2 emissions intensity is currently low by global standards: Brazil's grid emitted 109.95 gCO2/kWh in 2025 (Ember), reflecting the country's hydro-heavy generation mix. No flow-level data (energy/water volumes) is populated for this facility, limiting quantification of absolute dependency magnitude.

Near-term · 2030

By 2030, IEA STEPS projects Brazil's grid intensity to rise to 70 gCO2/kWh in the horizons data — a figure that reads as a near-term increase relative to the 2025 observed value, warranting a data-source check against Ember's actual trajectory before being taken at face value in Scope 2 forecasting. Water-risk future scores (2030 WD/WS) are not populated in this dataset, so the current High overall-risk label and its wastewater/flood drivers should be treated as the best available proxy for near-term physical exposure. No change in asset footprint or ownership is indicated; Prologis retains 100% share.

Long-term · 2050+

The 2050 grid horizon drops to 40 gCO2/kWh, reinforcing Brazil's long-run decarbonization path and suggesting Scope 2 exposure at this site becomes structurally immaterial versus peers in higher-carbon grids. Long-term water risk (2080 labels/scores) is entirely unpopulated, so residual physical risk beyond today's High-risk watershed classification cannot be forecast from this dataset; the untreated wastewater and riverine flood drivers observed today should be assumed persistent absent site-level mitigation data.

Call-outs
RISK
Untreated wastewater exposure high
The South Atlantic watershed scores 2.81 on untreated wastewater, a key driver of the site's High (60-75%) overall water risk classification.
WATCH
2030 grid intensity anomaly
IEA STEPS horizon shows Brazil grid rising to 70 gCO2/kWh by 2030 versus 109.95 observed in 2025, an inconsistency that should be validated before use in Scope 2 planning.
OPPORTUNITY
Deep grid decarbonization by 2050
Brazil's grid is projected to fall to 40 gCO2/kWh by 2050, positioning this facility for near-negligible Scope 2 intensity long-term.
WATCH
No flow or future water data
Absence of flow-level water/energy volumes and 2030/2080 water horizon scores limits quantification of absolute exposure and requires supplementary data collection.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 1.26 · Low - Medium (10-20%) · South Atlantic (ex 154, 158, 160, 350, 353, 372)
Water stress: 1.26 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
BR · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 110 gCO₂/kWh2030: 702050: 402080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.