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Prologis RFI DIRFT · Transition modelFACILITY

Prologis · asset · Daventry, GB · 52.258, -1.163
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryDaventry, GB · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Prologis RFI DIRFT in Daventry, GB carries low overall physical risk today, with its emissions profile set to be reshaped almost entirely by GB grid decarbonisation rather than by site-level water or flood exposure.

Today

This logistics/distribution asset in Daventry, England depends on grid electricity and physical asset resilience rather than water-intensive processes, sitting in the North Sea watershed with Low-Medium baseline water stress (BWS score 1.65, 10-20%) and a Low overall physical risk score of 0.64 (<25%). The dominant present-day impact driver is Scope 2 emissions tied to the GB grid, currently carrying an observed intensity of 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025); location-specific pressure includes a moderate drought score of 3.29 and coastal/riverine flood scores of 2.80 and 1.82 respectively, though none breach high-risk thresholds today.

Near-term · 2030

The 2030 horizon marker for GB grid intensity is 100 gCO2/kWh, a sharp drop from the 2025 observed value of 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025), signaling that Scope 2 intensity for this facility should more than halve within five years purely from grid mix change, without any operational intervention. Water-side horizon data (wd/ws future scores for 2030, 2050, 2080) is entirely null, so no forward view on water stress or depletion can be substantiated at this time; the physical risk picture through 2030 should be treated as static at today's Low overall risk level pending better data.

Long-term · 2050+

By 2050 the GB grid horizon marker of 30 gCO2/kWh implies a near-total decoupling of this facility's Scope 2 footprint from national power generation, consistent with an aggressive IEA STEPS decarbonisation trajectory; residual physical risk is likely to be concentrated in coastal and riverine flood exposure (current scores 2.80 and 1.82 respectively) and periodic drought stress (3.29), none of which have populated 2080 projections in this dataset to confirm direction or magnitude, making this the key monitoring gap for long-horizon underwriting.

Call-outs
OPPORTUNITY
Grid decarbonisation to 2030
GB grid intensity is projected to collapse from an observed 217.4 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember) toward a 2030 horizon marker before falling further to 30 gCO2/kWh by 2050, structurally deflating Scope 2 emissions for this facility with no site-side abatement capex required.
WATCH
Coastal and riverine flood scores
Coastal flood score (2.80) and riverine flood score (1.82) are moderate on a 0-5-type scale and warrant monitoring even though the composite overall physical risk is Low (0.64, <25%) and no 2080 water-stress or depletion horizon data is populated to confirm the trend.
WATCH
Missing long-horizon water data
2030/2050/2080 water-stress and water-depletion horizon scores are all null, so any forward view on basin-level water risk for the Daventry site is currently unsubstantiated and should be flagged as a data gap rather than assumed benign.
RISK
Drought score elevated vs. stress label
The drought score of 3.29 sits well above the facility's Low-Medium baseline water stress (bws 1.65, 10-20%), indicating episodic drought exposure that the headline stress label alone would understate.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 1.65 · Low - Medium (10-20%) · North Sea (ex 605, 629, 633, 634, 638)
Water stress: 1.65 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
GB · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 217 gCO₂/kWh2030: 1002050: 302080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.