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LaGuardia Terminal B (32% ownership divested) · Transition modelFACILITY

Skanska · asset · New York, US · 40.713, -74.006
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryNew York, US · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

LaGuardia Terminal B (32% divested PPP stake) sits in a Low water-stress zone in New York, with exposure now dominated by grid carbon intensity rather than physical water risk.

Today

The facility's present-state profile is shaped primarily by its dependency on the US grid, currently carrying an observed intensity of 384.4 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025), which drives its Scope 2 GHG impact as an airport terminal PPP asset. Water-related physical pressure is low: baseline water stress (BWS) is scored 0.22 (Low, <10%), overall water risk is 0.88 (Low, <25%), and drought score sits at 1.50. Untreated wastewater exposure (0.88) is the standout local pressure point worth monitoring even though it does not currently elevate the overall risk label. No flow-level (water/energy consumption) data is populated for this node, limiting quantification of absolute dependency volumes.

Near-term · 2030

By 2030, the dominant shift is on the transition side: grid carbon intensity is projected to fall sharply to 220 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, roughly a 43% reduction from the 2025 observed value, meaningfully lowering the facility's Scope 2 footprint if electricity consumption holds flat. Water-related future scores (wd_future_score, ws_future_score) are not populated for 2030, so no forward view on water stress or depletion trajectory is available at this horizon — physical risk assessment remains anchored to current Low-risk labels. Coastal flood (0.43) and riverine flood (0.40) scores are moderate-low and warrant periodic re-checking given the site's proximity to LaGuardia's coastal/airport infrastructure, though no horizon-specific flood projections are supplied.

Long-term · 2050+

The 2050 grid trajectory continues its decarbonisation path to 80 gCO2/kWh (IEA STEPS), an ~80% reduction from 2025 levels, indicating a strong structural tailwind for Scope 2 emissions tied to this asset assuming continued grid decoupling from ownership share. No 2080 grid or water horizon data is provided, and water stress/depletion labels remain unpopulated beyond current-state, so long-term physical risk (coastal flood, drought, wastewater treatment adequacy) cannot be benchmarked against future scenarios in this dataset — this is a data gap rather than a signal of low residual risk given the site's coastal, high-traffic airport context.

Call-outs
OPPORTUNITY
Grid decarbonisation cuts Scope 2
US grid intensity is projected to fall from 384.4 gCO2/kWh (2025) to 220 by 2030 and 80 by 2050, materially reducing Scope 2 exposure without any operational change.
WATCH
Untreated wastewater score elevated
The untreated wastewater score of 0.88 is disproportionately high relative to the Low overall water risk label and merits site-level verification of treatment infrastructure.
WATCH
Water horizon data absent
No 2030/2050/2080 water stress or depletion projections are populated, leaving forward physical water risk unquantified for this coastal asset.
RISK
Partial ownership complicates attribution
With only 32% ownership divested (68% retained influence unclear), Scope 2 and physical risk exposure should be verified against the applicable equity share before use in portfolio-level aggregation.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 0.22 · Low (<10%) · North Atlantic (ex 109, 116, 309, 311, 313, 444, 448, 603, 604, 608)
Water stress: 0.22 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
US · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 384 gCO₂/kWh2030: 2202050: 802080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.