Oas, Malmö · Transition modelFACILITY

The site's dominant dependency is grid electricity, sourced from Sweden's grid at an observed intensity of 35.26 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025) — already among the cleanest in Europe — making Scope 2 emissions the primary GHG impact channel rather than any generation-side risk. Physical water pressure is minimal: baseline water stress is Low (<10%, score 0.96), overall water risk is Low (0.44), and drought, coastal flood, and riverine flood scores (2.72, 1.13, 1.32 respectively) all sit in benign ranges for the Baltic Sea watershed. No flow data (energy/water volumes) is populated for this facility, limiting quantification of absolute consumption or intensity.

By 2030, grid carbon intensity is forecast to fall further to 25 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, reinforcing the trajectory toward near-zero Scope 2 exposure without any operational change required at the facility. Forward-looking water stress and depletion scores for 2030/2050/2080 are not populated in this dataset, so no shift in physical water risk can be evidenced or ruled out over this horizon; the Low current baseline is the only available reference point.

The grid decarbonisation path continues to 2050, with intensity projected at 15 gCO2/kWh — effectively residual — meaning long-run transition risk from electricity-related emissions at this site is negligible under current policy trajectories. Physical risk data gaps (missing 2080 water stress/depletion labels and scores) prevent a definitive long-term physical risk statement, but the current Low overall risk score and location in the Baltic Sea basin suggest limited structural exposure absent major regional hydrological shifts.