Sthlm04 · Transition modelFACILITY

As an operating office in Stockholm, Sthlm04's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water or extractive inputs, and its dominant impact is Scope 2 GHG emissions tied to the Swedish grid, which registered an observed intensity of 35.26 gCO2/kWh in 2025 (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025) — exceptionally low by global standards. Local physical pressure from water is low overall: the site sits in the Baltic Sea watershed with a baseline water stress (BWS) score of 0.564 (Low, <10%), an overall water risk score of 0.44 (Low, <25%), and zero coastal flood exposure. The one metric of note is a riverine flood score of 3.06, higher than the rest of the water risk profile, alongside a modest drought score of 2.11 and untreated wastewater score of 1.03.

By 2030, Sweden's grid carbon intensity is projected at 25 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, down from the 2025 observed 35.26 gCO2/kWh, reinforcing an already immaterial Scope 2 dependency for this office asset. Water-side, no 2030 water stress (ws) or water depletion (wd) horizon scores are populated in this dataset, so forward physical-risk shift on the water pillar cannot be quantified here; the current baseline (BWS 0.564, Low <10%; overall risk score 0.44, Low <25%) is the only reference point available. The riverine flood score of 3.06 is the one metric that stands apart from the otherwise low-risk profile and merits site-level scrutiny as flood patterns evolve.

Sweden's grid is forecast to reach 15 gCO2/kWh by 2050 under IEA STEPS, effectively decoupling this office's operational emissions from any meaningful transition risk and positioning it as a low-carbon anchor within Skanska's portfolio. The residual risk profile is physical, not transitional: absent 2050/2080 water stress projections in this dataset, the material long-term watch item is riverine flood exposure in the Baltic Sea basin, which should be monitored via updated hydrological modeling as no forward-looking labels (ws_label_2080, wd_label_2080) are currently available. Barring flood-related inflection points, this site's long-term trajectory is one of the lowest-risk profiles obtainable for an office asset, both on decarbonisation and baseline water stress.