Stockholm office property (Investment Properties portfolio) · Transition modelFACILITY

This 42,962 sqm office asset in the Baltic Sea watershed (ex 641, 654, 656, 672, 673) depends primarily on grid electricity and municipal water; its dominant impact channel is Scope 2 GHG via Sweden's grid, currently at 35.26 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025) — already one of the cleanest grids globally. Baseline water stress (BWS) is Low at 0.56, overall water risk is Low (0.44), and coastal flood exposure is zero, though riverine flood score (3.06) and untreated wastewater score (1.03) warrant monitoring as secondary physical pressures.

By 2030 grid carbon intensity is projected to fall further to 25 gCO2/kWh per IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, reinforcing the site's low-carbon energy dependency profile. Water stress, however, is set to shift materially: the water-stress score climbs from today's baseline toward 0.52 by 2030 and 0.73 by 2050, even as the long-run label (2080) stays "Low (<10%)" — indicating a widening but still-contained basin-level pressure. Water depletion (0.37) and drought scores (2.11) remain moderate and are not expected to be primary drivers of risk at this horizon.

By 2050 the Swedish grid is forecast at just 15 gCO2/kWh, essentially eliminating Scope 2 exposure as a material transition risk for this asset. Physical risk residual is water-stress related: the ws_future_score plateaus near 0.73 through 2050 and 2080, a step-change from current conditions, though the qualitative label remains Low, meaning absolute risk stays manageable but the trend merits tracking as an early-warning indicator rather than a near-term constraint.