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Studio B, Warsaw · Transition modelFACILITY

Skanska · operating_office · Warsaw, PL · 52.232, 20.989
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryWarsaw, PL · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Studio B, Warsaw sits in a low-water-stress Vistula basin office facing a carbon-intensive Polish grid that is set to decarbonise sharply by 2050.

Today

This 17,600 sqm office asset in Warsaw draws on a national grid still carbon-intensive at 588.6 gCO2/kWh (2025 observed, Ember), making Scope 2 electricity the facility's dominant impact pathway. Physical water pressure is currently low: baseline water stress is rated Low (<10%, score 0) in the VISTULA watershed, with overall water risk at 1.12 (Low-Medium, 25-50%) and negligible coastal or riverine flood exposure (0 and 0.46 respectively). The one local pressure point is untreated wastewater, scoring 1.94, notably higher than other water sub-metrics, alongside a drought score of 3.54 that merits attention despite the low overall stress label.

Near-term · 2030

By 2030, Poland's grid carbon intensity is forecast to fall to 380 gCO2/kWh (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS), a meaningful drop from the 2025 observed 588.6 gCO2/kWh but still a transitional midpoint rather than a resolved position. Water-related horizon scores (2030/2050/2080 depletion and stress) are not populated in this dataset, so no forward view on physical water risk trajectory is available; current baseline conditions (Low baseline water stress, Low-Medium overall risk at 1.12) should be treated as the best available reference until horizon data is added.

Long-term · 2050+

By 2050, Poland's grid is projected at 130 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, a fraction of the 2025 observed 588.6 gCO2/kWh, effectively resolving Scope 2 intensity as a long-term risk factor for this facility. No 2080 grid or water horizon data is available, leaving longer-dated physical risk (drought, riverine flood) unquantified beyond current scores; residual exposure should be reassessed as horizon data fills in, particularly for the drought score of 3.54, which is elevated relative to the site's otherwise low baseline water risk profile.

Call-outs
RISK
Grid carbon intensity still high today
Poland's 2025 observed grid intensity of 588.6 gCO2/kWh (Ember) means Scope 2 emissions remain the dominant impact lever for this 17,600 sqm office until decarbonisation accelerates.
OPPORTUNITY
Steep grid decarbonisation by 2050
IEA STEPS horizons show Poland's grid falling from 380 gCO2/kWh in 2030 to 130 gCO2/kWh by 2050, a ~78% reduction from 2025 levels that will structurally cut Scope 2 exposure without site-level action.
WATCH
Untreated wastewater pressure
The untreated wastewater score of 1.94 stands out against otherwise low water metrics and warrants monitoring for Vistula basin discharge compliance.
WATCH
Water horizon data absent
No 2030/2050/2080 water depletion or stress horizon scores are populated, limiting forward-looking physical water risk assessment for this site.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 0.00 · Low (<10%) · VISTULA
Water stress: 0.00 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
PL · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 589 gCO₂/kWh2030: 3802050: 1302080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.