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Sonepat · Transition modelFACILITY

GSK · manufacturing · Sonepat, IN · 28.992, 77.034
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summarySonepat, IN · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

GSK's Sonepat manufacturing site sits in an Extremely High baseline water-stress zone of the Yamuna basin, with grid decarbonisation offering the only clear tailwind through 2050.

Today

Sonepat is a manufacturing asset in India's Yamuna watershed, carrying an Extremely High baseline water stress label (bws_score 4.96, >80th percentile) alongside a Medium-High overall physical risk score (2.7) driven by water depletion (3.87), drought (3.35), and riverine flood exposure (3.37); untreated wastewater scores a maximum 5, flagging weak sanitation infrastructure locally. The site's dominant impact channel is Scope 2 GHG via grid electricity, with the current India grid intensity observed at 670.13 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025) — well above global averages — making energy the primary emissions lever given the site's manufacturing profile and no material coastal flood exposure (score 0).

Near-term · 2030

By 2030, IEA WEO 2024 STEPS projects India's grid intensity falling sharply to 520 gCO2/kWh, a ~22% reduction from the 2025 observed level, which will mechanically compress Sonepat's Scope 2 footprint without any site-side intervention. Water-side forward-looking scores (wd/ws future scores and labels for 2030) are not populated in this dataset, so the trajectory of baseline water stress and depletion risk at this horizon cannot be evidenced — the Extremely High current rating should be treated as the operative planning assumption until updated.

Long-term · 2050+

The grid decarbonisation trend accelerates further out, with intensity projected at 250 gCO2/kWh by 2050 (STEPS), a further 52% drop from 2030 and roughly two-thirds below the 2025 baseline — a meaningful structural tailwind for Scope 2 exposure at this asset. However, no 2080 grid or water horizon data is available, and critically no forward water-stress or depletion projections exist at any horizon, leaving physical water risk in the Yamuna basin as an unquantified residual — decarbonisation of energy inputs does not address the site's underlying water scarcity and wastewater treatment gaps, which historically flagged this as a "former high water risk site."

Call-outs
RISK
Extremely High baseline water stress
Sonepat's bws_score of 4.96 (Extremely High, >80th percentile) in the Yamuna watershed represents the site's most acute physical dependency risk today.
RISK
Maximum untreated wastewater score
An untreated wastewater score of 5 (maximum) signals significant local sanitation infrastructure gaps that compound water-related compliance and community risk.
OPPORTUNITY
Steep grid decarbonisation tailwind
India grid intensity is projected to fall from 670 gCO2/kWh (2025) to 520 by 2030 and 250 by 2050, materially reducing Scope 2 exposure with no site action required.
WATCH
No forward water risk data
Water stress and depletion horizon scores for 2030/2050/2080 are unpopulated, leaving future physical water risk trajectory unverified despite the current Extremely High rating.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 4.96 · Extremely High (>80%) · YAMUNA
Water stress: 4.96 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
IN · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 670 gCO₂/kWh2030: 5202050: 2502080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.