Sonepat · Transition modelFACILITY
MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: activeClimate & nature exec summarySonepat, IN · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07
GSK's Sonepat manufacturing site sits in an Extremely High baseline water-stress zone of the Yamuna basin, with grid decarbonisation offering the only clear tailwind through 2050.
Sonepat is a manufacturing asset in India's Yamuna watershed, carrying an Extremely High baseline water stress label (bws_score 4.96, >80th percentile) alongside a Medium-High overall physical risk score (2.7) driven by water depletion (3.87), drought (3.35), and riverine flood exposure (3.37); untreated wastewater scores a maximum 5, flagging weak sanitation infrastructure locally. The site's dominant impact channel is Scope 2 GHG via grid electricity, with the current India grid intensity observed at 670.13 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025) — well above global averages — making energy the primary emissions lever given the site's manufacturing profile and no material coastal flood exposure (score 0).
By 2030, IEA WEO 2024 STEPS projects India's grid intensity falling sharply to 520 gCO2/kWh, a ~22% reduction from the 2025 observed level, which will mechanically compress Sonepat's Scope 2 footprint without any site-side intervention. Water-side forward-looking scores (wd/ws future scores and labels for 2030) are not populated in this dataset, so the trajectory of baseline water stress and depletion risk at this horizon cannot be evidenced — the Extremely High current rating should be treated as the operative planning assumption until updated.
The grid decarbonisation trend accelerates further out, with intensity projected at 250 gCO2/kWh by 2050 (STEPS), a further 52% drop from 2030 and roughly two-thirds below the 2025 baseline — a meaningful structural tailwind for Scope 2 exposure at this asset. However, no 2080 grid or water horizon data is available, and critically no forward water-stress or depletion projections exist at any horizon, leaving physical water risk in the Yamuna basin as an unquantified residual — decarbonisation of energy inputs does not address the site's underlying water scarcity and wastewater treatment gaps, which historically flagged this as a "former high water risk site."
Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream
4.96 · Extremely High (>80%) · YAMUNA