Stevenage · Transition modelFACILITY

Stevenage's dominant physical exposure today is water: baseline water stress scores High (40-80%, score 3.38) with an elevated drought score of 3.31, though overall composite risk is scored Low (0.64) and coastal/riverine flood exposure is negligible to modest (riverine 1.03, coastal 0). The dominant impact pathway is Scope 2 GHG via grid electricity, currently carrying a GB grid intensity of 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025 observed). No flow-level water withdrawal, energy consumption, or asset-value data is populated for this site, limiting quantification of absolute dependency magnitude.

By the 2030 horizon, IEA WEO 2024 STEPS projects GB grid intensity effectively flat to slightly up relative to today's observed trajectory (horizon marker shows 100 gCO2/kWh scaling reference, moving to 30 by 2050 - a step-change reduction), meaning Scope 2 emissions intensity is set to fall materially in the back half of this decade into the 2030s. Water stress and drought future scores for 2030/2050/2080 are not populated in this dataset, so the trajectory of physical water risk at Stevenage cannot be forward-quantified beyond the current High baseline stress reading - this is a data gap analysts should flag rather than assume stability.

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