Tianjin TSKF · Transition modelFACILITY

This GSK manufacturing facility in Tianjin, China is flagged as a high water risk site, sitting in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea watershed with Medium-High baseline water stress (score 2.62, 20-40% percentile) and an overall water risk label of Low-Medium (score 1.92). Physical pressure is most acute on the flood side, with a riverine flood score of 4.02 and coastal flood score of 3.05, alongside a notably high untreated wastewater score of 3.28 and drought score of 3.23. The dominant emissions dependency is grid electricity, with China's observed 2025 grid intensity at 526.49 gCO2/kWh, meaning Scope 2 impact is currently carbon-intensive relative to the decarbonisation pathway ahead.

By 2030, grid carbon intensity is projected to fall to 380 gCO2/kWh from an observed 526.49 gCO2/kWh in 2025 (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025, IEA WEO 2024 STEPS pathway), a meaningful step-down in Scope 2 emissions intensity for this manufacturing site. Water-related physical risk horizons (2030 water depletion and stress scores) are not populated in this dataset, so no forward view exists on whether Medium-High baseline water stress will intensify; this is a data gap analysts should flag rather than assume stability."

No 2080 grid or water horizon data is available, but the trajectory implied by 2050 (130 gCO2/kWh) suggests a largely decarbonised Scope 2 base for GSK's Chinese manufacturing footprint by mid-century. Residual physical risk is the persistent variable: without projected water-stress or depletion scores for 2050/2080, the long-term trajectory of water risk at this site cannot be quantified from current data, and drought (3.23) and riverine flood (4.02) scores at present levels imply this basin will remain a physical-risk watch area absent adaptation investment."