Deeside Centre for Innovation (DCI) · Transition modelFACILITY

As a 600 MW innovation/test centre and substation in Deeside, Wales, the site's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water, with a Low baseline water stress score (0.107, <10%) and an overall water risk label of Low (0.64). The site's principal impact channel is Scope 2 GHG intensity tied to the GB grid, currently observed at 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025). Location-specific physical pressure today is more coastal-flood (score 2.30) and drought (score 3.13) driven than water-scarcity driven, within the North Atlantic watershed catchment.

The 2030 horizon shows GB grid intensity at 100 gCO2/kWh, less than half the 2025 observed value of 217.41 gCO2/kWh, a step-change decarbonisation that directly benefits this site's dominant Scope 2 exposure. No equivalent 2030 water-stress or depletion horizon figures are provided, so the physical-water outlook to 2030 cannot be characterized from the available data; drought exposure (score 3.13) and coastal flood exposure (score 2.30) should be treated as the persistent near-term physical variables absent contrary horizon data.

By 2050 the GB grid is projected at 30 gCO2/kWh (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS), an 86% reduction from the 2025 observed 217.41 gCO2/kWh baseline, all but eliminating Scope 2 emissions intensity for this substation/test-centre asset. Residual physical risk is dominated by coastal flooding (score 2.30) rather than water scarcity, and with no 2050/2080 water-stress or depletion horizons published, the long-run trajectory of the site's Low (<10%) baseline water stress remains an open question requiring supplementary modelling.