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Eakring Office · Transition modelFACILITY

National Grid · operating_office · Eakring, GB · 53.154, -0.993
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summaryEakring, GB · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Eakring Office is a low-risk, energy-dependent facility riding a steep GB grid decarbonisation curve, with only a localized drought signal standing out in an otherwise benign physical-risk profile.

Today

Near-term · 2030

By the 2030 horizon, GB grid intensity is projected at 100 gCO2/kWh (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS), less than half the 2025 observed value of 217.41 gCO2/kWh, meaning Scope 2 emissions intensity for this office roughly halves within five years absent any change in electricity consumption. Water-related horizon scores for 2030 (wd_future_score, ws_future_score) are not populated, so no forward view on water stress or depletion is available; today's Low-Medium baseline water stress (BWS 1.35, 10-20%) and overall Low risk (0.64) remain the only reference points.", "today": "Eakring Office, a 100%-owned National Grid facility in Nottinghamshire, GB, is a standard office asset whose dominant sustainability profile is energy-driven Scope 2 exposure rather than water dependency, given a Low-Medium baseline water stress score (1.35, 10-20%) and Low overall physical risk (0.64) in the North Sea watershed. The current grid carbon intensity for GB is 217.41 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember Yearly Electricity), the key driver of the site's operational carbon footprint since no site-level energy or water consumption flows are recorded. The one notable physical-pressure signal today is a comparatively high drought score of 3.25, alongside moderate coastal (0.86) and riverine (0.66) flood scores, despite the otherwise low aggregate risk label.

Long-term · 2050+

No 2080 water-stress or depletion labels are populated in the dataset, and the grid horizon data stops at 2050 (30 gCO2/kWh), so long-term (2050+) outlook is bounded by data availability rather than modelled certainty. Assuming continuation of the IEA STEPS trajectory, residual Scope 2 exposure at this office should approach near-zero carbon intensity, leaving physical risk — chiefly coastal/riverine flood and drought variability in the North Sea watershed — as the dominant residual concern rather than transition risk.

Call-outs
WATCH
Data gaps beyond 2030
No 2080 water-stress or water-depletion labels and no 2050+ grid figures beyond the STEPS trajectory are populated, limiting long-horizon physical-risk quantification for this site.
OPPORTUNITY
Grid decarbonisation tailwind
GB grid intensity is modelled to fall from an observed 217.41 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember) toward a 2050 horizon of 30 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS, sharply reducing Scope 2 exposure for this office without any site-side intervention.
RISK
Drought score elevated
A drought score of 3.25 stands out against an otherwise low overall risk profile (0.64) and low-medium baseline water stress (BWS 1.35), warranting monitoring for operational continuity risk in the North Sea watershed catchment.
WATCH
Coastal and riverine flood exposure
Coastal flood (0.86) and riverine flood (0.66) scores are moderate and should be tracked as physical-risk inputs even though current overall risk is labelled Low (<25%).

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 1.35 · Low - Medium (10-20%) · North Sea (ex 605, 629, 633, 634, 638)
Water stress: 1.35 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
GB · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 217 gCO₂/kWh2030: 1002050: 302080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.