Eakring Office · Transition modelFACILITY
MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: activeClimate & nature exec summaryEakring, GB · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07
Eakring Office is a low-risk, energy-dependent facility riding a steep GB grid decarbonisation curve, with only a localized drought signal standing out in an otherwise benign physical-risk profile.
By the 2030 horizon, GB grid intensity is projected at 100 gCO2/kWh (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS), less than half the 2025 observed value of 217.41 gCO2/kWh, meaning Scope 2 emissions intensity for this office roughly halves within five years absent any change in electricity consumption. Water-related horizon scores for 2030 (wd_future_score, ws_future_score) are not populated, so no forward view on water stress or depletion is available; today's Low-Medium baseline water stress (BWS 1.35, 10-20%) and overall Low risk (0.64) remain the only reference points.", "today": "Eakring Office, a 100%-owned National Grid facility in Nottinghamshire, GB, is a standard office asset whose dominant sustainability profile is energy-driven Scope 2 exposure rather than water dependency, given a Low-Medium baseline water stress score (1.35, 10-20%) and Low overall physical risk (0.64) in the North Sea watershed. The current grid carbon intensity for GB is 217.41 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember Yearly Electricity), the key driver of the site's operational carbon footprint since no site-level energy or water consumption flows are recorded. The one notable physical-pressure signal today is a comparatively high drought score of 3.25, alongside moderate coastal (0.86) and riverine (0.66) flood scores, despite the otherwise low aggregate risk label.
No 2080 water-stress or depletion labels are populated in the dataset, and the grid horizon data stops at 2050 (30 gCO2/kWh), so long-term (2050+) outlook is bounded by data availability rather than modelled certainty. Assuming continuation of the IEA STEPS trajectory, residual Scope 2 exposure at this office should approach near-zero carbon intensity, leaving physical risk — chiefly coastal/riverine flood and drought variability in the North Sea watershed — as the dominant residual concern rather than transition risk.
Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream
1.35 · Low - Medium (10-20%) · North Sea (ex 605, 629, 633, 634, 638)