Iver Environment Centre · Transition modelFACILITY

As a control centre asset, Iver's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water or material throughput, and its principal impact channel is Scope 2 emissions tied to the GB grid, currently observed at 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025). The site sits in the North Sea watershed (ex basins 605, 629, 633, 634, 638) under High baseline water stress (BWS score 3.38, 40-80% label) and a drought score of 3.31, though overall composite physical risk is Low (0.64, <25%) with no coastal flood exposure and modest riverine flood (1.03) and water depletion (1.30) scores. No flow, consumption, or emissions volume data is present in this record, limiting quantification of actual site-level pressure.

The IEA WEO 2024 STEPS horizon holds GB grid intensity essentially flat at 100 gCO2/kWh through 2030, a marked jump from the 2025 observed value of 217.41 gCO2/kWh, implying a discontinuity in the underlying projection that should be checked against source detail before use in transition scenarios. No 2030 water stress or depletion horizon labels or scores are populated, so near-term shifts in the site's water risk profile cannot be evidenced from this dataset and remain a monitoring gap.

By 2050 the IEA STEPS horizon puts GB grid intensity at 30 gCO2/kWh, a near-decarbonised system that would largely retire Scope 2 emissions as a material impact for this control centre, assuming the site's electricity remains its dominant environmental footprint. Residual physical risk is concentrated in water: no 2050/2080 water depletion or stress horizon scores are provided in this dataset, so the trajectory of the High-stress North Sea basin beyond 2030 cannot be evidenced and should be treated as an open question for long-range resilience planning rather than assumed benign.