Leicester Depot · Transition modelFACILITY

As a control centre asset, Leicester Depot's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water or feedstock, with its Scope 2 footprint tied to the current GB grid intensity of 217.41 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025). Water-related physical pressure is low: overall water risk scores Low (<25%, 0.64), baseline water stress is Low-Medium (10-20%, score 1.35) in the North Sea watershed, and water depletion (0.54) and untreated wastewater (0.16) scores are both modest. Drought score sits at a moderate 3.25, and coastal (0.86) and riverine (0.66) flood scores are low, indicating no material near-term physical constraint on operations at this site.

By 2030, the GB grid emissions factor is projected (IEA WEO 2024 STEPS) to intensify sharply to 100 gCO2/kWh from today's 217.41 gCO2/kWh, a decarbonisation step-change that will directly reduce this facility's Scope 2 intensity without any operational change required on-site. Water-risk horizon data (2030/2050/2080 water depletion and stress scores) is not populated in this dataset, so forward physical-risk trajectory for water cannot be characterized quantitatively at this time.

The grid trajectory continues to 30 gCO2/kWh by 2050, implying an ~86% reduction in grid carbon intensity from 2025 levels and effectively decoupling this facility's operational emissions from fossil generation well ahead of most physical assets in the National Grid portfolio. No 2080 grid or water horizon figures are available, and absent updated hazard projections, residual physical risk should be assumed similar to today's low-risk baseline, though this is a data gap rather than a confirmed forecast.