Dartford Head Office · Transition modelFACILITY

As a head-office operating asset, the site's dominant dependency is grid electricity rather than water or land, with impact concentrated in Scope 2 emissions tied to the GB grid, currently observed at 217.41 gCO2/kWh (2025, Ember). Local physical pressure is moderate: the site sits in the North Sea watershed with a baseline water stress score of 3.38 (High, 40-80%) and a drought score of 3.31, but overall composite risk is Low (0.64, <25%), with zero coastal flood exposure and modest riverine flood score (1.03).

By 2030, GB grid carbon intensity is projected to rise sharply to 100 gCO2/kWh under IEA WEO 2024 STEPS — an increase from the 2025 observed value — before falling steeply to 30 gCO2/kWh by 2050, indicating near-term volatility in Scope 2 transition assumptions rather than a smooth decline. No forward-looking water stress or depletion horizons (2030/2050/2080) are populated in this dataset, so the water-risk picture should be treated as static baseline only, not a trajectory.

The long-term outlook is constructive on transition: GB grid intensity falls to 30 gCO2/kWh by 2050 (IEA STEPS), a roughly 86% reduction from 2025 observed levels, which should structurally reduce Scope 2 exposure for this office asset absent major consumption growth. Residual physical risk centers on the High baseline water stress rating in the North Sea basin, but with no 2080 water-stress or depletion labels/scores provided, longer-horizon physical risk cannot be quantified from this dataset and should be flagged as a data gap rather than assumed benign.