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Bulgaria IBX Data Centers · Transition modelFACILITY

Equinix · data_centre · Sofia, BG · 42.698, 23.322
basis: MEASURED · confidence: 0.65 · status: active

Climate & nature exec summarySofia, BG · claude-sonnet-5 · 2026-07-07

Bulgaria IBX Data Centers sit in a low water-stress Danube sub-basin, but the facility's forward risk picture is limited by missing grid-decarbonisation and water-horizon data.

Today

The Sofia, Bulgaria IBX data centre depends primarily on grid electricity, drawing power at a 2025 observed carbon intensity of 275.55 gCO2/kWh (Ember Yearly Electricity 2025) for BG, which drives its dominant Scope 2 GHG impact. The site sits in the Danube watershed (ex 643-647) with a Low baseline water stress score (0, <10%) and a Low-Medium overall water risk score of 1.64, though the untreated wastewater score of 2.29 and drought score of 2.83 flag localized pressure points worth monitoring. Riverine flood exposure is modest (0.92) and coastal flood and water depletion scores are negligible (0 and 0.06 respectively).

Near-term · 2030

No 2030 horizon values are populated for either water stress/depletion or grid carbon intensity, so the site's near-term trajectory cannot be quantified from the dataset as provided. Analysts should treat the current low-water-stress, ~275 gCO2/kWh grid baseline as the best available reference point until horizon-specific projections are populated.

Long-term · 2050+

Beyond 2050, no horizon data exists for either the BG grid emissions factor or water stress/depletion at this site, so the long-term decarbonisation trajectory and residual physical risk cannot be characterized from current data. Given Bulgaria's EU grid trajectory and low current baseline water stress, directional expectation is for continued grid decarbonisation and stable-to-low water risk, but this is inference, not data-backed projection; horizon data acquisition should be prioritized for this site.

Call-outs
WATCH
Grid decarbonisation trajectory undefined
No 2030/2050/2080 grid intensity horizon data is available for BG, so forward Scope 2 trajectory cannot be quantified despite a 2025 observed intensity of 275.55 gCO2/kWh (Ember).
WATCH
Water horizon data absent
Water depletion and water stress horizon scores for 2030/2050/2080 are all null, precluding forward-looking basin stress assessment for the Danube watershed segment.
OPPORTUNITY
Low baseline water stress
Baseline water stress score is 0 (Low, <10%), giving Equinix's Sofia IBX facilities headroom on water-related site risk relative to peers in higher-stress basins.
RISK
Untreated wastewater exposure
The untreated wastewater score of 2.29 is comparatively elevated within an otherwise low-risk water profile and warrants monitoring for downstream regulatory or reputational exposure.

Flows0 total · 0 in / 0 out · plus site context + supply/downstream

Inputs (dependencies)
WATER · site context · Aqueduct 4.0
REALM · FRESHWATER
BWS 0.00 · Low (<10%) · DANUBE (ex 643, 644, 645, 646, 647)
Water stress: 0.00 · 2030 · 2050 · 2080
Water depletion: 2030 · 2050 · 2080
ENERGY · site context · grid carbon
REALM · ATMOSPHERE
BG · Ember observed + IEA WEO STEPS
2025: 276 gCO₂/kWh2030: 2050: 2080:
Outputs (impacts + product)
None.

Compositions

Parent (rolls up into)
Children (0)
None.