Nashik · Transition modelFACILITY

The site's dominant dependency is freshwater withdrawal in the Godavari watershed, which carries an Extremely High baseline water stress label (score 5/5) and a Medium-High overall water risk (2.7, 50-60% percentile), compounded by a high drought score (4.24) and an untreated wastewater score of 5 - the maximum on the scale, signalling significant local discharge/treatment infrastructure exposure. Riverine flood risk is moderate (2.29) and coastal flood risk is zero, consistent with an inland location. On the impact side, Scope 2 emissions intensity is currently high: the Indian grid observed value is 670.13 gCO2/kWh (Ember 2025), well above OECD averages, making grid-sourced electricity the facility's dominant GHG-driving impact today.

By 2030, the IEA WEO 2024 STEPS pathway projects India's grid intensity falling to 520 gCO2/kWh - a ~22% reduction from the 2025 observed level - which will proportionally reduce the site's Scope 2 footprint without any operational change required. Water stress and wastewater metrics have no forward-looking horizon scores populated (2030/2050/2080 fields are null for both water depletion and water stress labels), so the physical water risk profile should be treated as static at today's Extremely High baseline until updated data is available; this is a data gap analysts should flag rather than a signal of improvement.

The long-term grid trajectory shows a sharp inflection: India's carbon intensity is forecast to reach 250 gCO2/kWh by 2050, a further 52% drop from the 2030 horizon and roughly a 63% reduction from 2025 observed levels, positioning grid decarbonisation as the primary structural tailwind for Scope 2 impact reduction. However, no 2050+ water-stress or depletion horizon data exists for Nashik, so residual physical risk in the Godavari basin - already Extremely High - must be assumed to persist or worsen absent site-level mitigation such as water reuse or wastewater treatment upgrades, independent of the energy transition.